A ‘National Union Front (NUF)’ Manifesto



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

These are the times that try men’s souls, as Thomas Paine wrote. As such, it seems as though it’s time to be honest with ourselves. I’m a man of peace. A man of ideas. But the country I love so much, the United States of America, is careening towards nothing less than a tyrannical fascist state.

The last time the National Unionists existed was the election of 1864 during the Civil War. We need to harken back to their goals of unity and freedom. The National Unionists were, by definition Lincolnists. The modern National Union Front would draw from anyone who believes America can do better than one Donald John Trump. He needs to leave office — immediately.

The current protesters across the nation need to take up burden of history and defend the freedoms we have all come to enjoy the last 244 years. We need to be willing to let the Tree of Liberty drink from the sweat of our brow as we fight the dark forces that would take our birthright from us.

I don’t want any violence. But if we’re going to defend Columbia from those who would abuse her out of spite, greed and a lust for power, we have to prepared to defend her with our lives and sacred honors.

I don’t have a lot of hope for the current protests for several reasons. One, the protests are leaderless. Or, put another way, no one with something to lose has decided to throw their lot with the protesters. I doesn’t matter who it is at this point — it could be David Frum or Taylor Swift. It just has to be someone, anyone, with a career they might destroy if things don’t go the right way.

The time for limp-wristed nattering on Twitter is over. We have to evoke change in the real world. We have to forsake violence and follow in the footsteps of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.

But what we lack in violence, we need to make up with ideology and demands. Our ideology should draw from the works of Jefferson, Madison, Lincoln, Gandhi. Lennon and King.

Most of all, the National Union Front needs three things.

Leaders
I don’t care where they come from. We need people with some organizational skill to adopt the NUF cause and plunge straight into what’s going on right now. Again, it could be David Frum for all I care. Someone needs to throw on a revolutionary beret and help the masses get the job done.

Ideology
The NUF ideology should be inclusive and simple: liberal democracy.

Demands
1. The Immediate resignation or removal of Donald John Trump, 45th President of the United States of America.
2. Addressing of systemic racism
3. The Green New Deal
4. National Health Care
5. Federal decriminalization of pot
6. Student Loan forgiveness
7. A national debate on how to address the historical consequences of slavery


Of Trumplandia, The American Fourth Reich



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Once you reach a certain level of historical momentum, there’s not much you can do. We, sadly, have reached a macro-historical tipping point in regards to America’s new managed democracy. It’s here and there’s no going back.

Trump will win re-election in the fall — it doesn’t matter how — then ICE will be weaponized and I will die in an ICE camp sometime in the next few years.

But, just for fun, let’s daydream about how you might stop this from happening.

Let me stress — I’m a man of peace, a man of ideas. But I do love to run scenarios, so, to me, this is just a scenario.

The only way I could see stopping the rise of the American Fourth Reich at this point is people actually willing to risk their lives to stop it. What’s more likely to happen is they will decide to pledge their “lives and scared honor” only after it’s too late and they have to be a REAL “Resistance” like the French Resistance.

What I might suggest is all these protests are really a protest against Trump. Or, put another way, they could evolve into that if there was any leadership associated with it. But, to date, these protests are simply people venting frustration. If there were, like, actual revolutionaries involved in these protests, then there would be demands that could be drawn up, etc.

But, nada.

Nothing is really going on with these protests other than being a huge political windfall to our tyrant president.

Anyway, all I can say is get out of the country if you love freedom and liberty. Trumplandia is, at last, tragically here

TNT: Trump / Trump 2020?



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


My current estimation is at some point in the next few weeks, we will reach a Trump freakout tipping point and Trump will rather abruptly dump Pence as his 2020 running mate.

Now, the Republican MAGA backbench is so wide and deep that he has about 30 people he could pick from who would get the job done. But, for the moment, it seems two people are more perfect than the others — Ivanka Trump and Gen. Mike Flynn.

Flynn is perfect because, well, he’s a fucking traitor and probably Trump’s Russian “handler” so what better way to “own the libs” than to put a turncoat one heartbeat away from the presidency. So, Flynn seems perfect. And, yet, Ivanka would also fix a lot of problems for House Trump.

She’s a “threefer” in that she’s Jewish, a woman and a Trump….and moderate! So, she’d be perfect for the white college educated women in the exerbs that everyone seeks so desperately in a presidential campaign. What I could see happening is something like this:

Trump’s political fortunes get dramatically worse. His insanity and his criminality fuse into one and he begins to lash out in some pretty insane ways (he’s already doing that, natch). As part of this insane lashing out, he does a major shake up of his campaign, including booting Pence. (Brad Parscale is a different matter. He’s too good at his job for Trump to do anything about him. He’s so powerful — and necessary to Trump’s victory — I could see Trump naming HIM his veep.)

Then Trump names Ivanka his veep. Everyone goes insane for a few days. Then things begin to calm down and we realize that, like most Trump political moves, it’s both genius and very stupid. But, really, the whole point is to simply setup Ivanka (and Jared) to become president at some point in Trump’s ill-gotten second term. Jared will probably really run the country, while Ivanka is a figure head. Or maybe there might be some combination of Ivanka-Jared-Flynn should Trump finally totally and completely lose his fucking mind in his second term.

Trump is going to win, no matter what. I see no indication that he will ever EVER, ever have any political accountability because of some pretty significant macro problems in the American political system.

Lulz.

‘538’


by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Nothing matters but the actual 538 human beings that make up presidential Electors. So, if the dozen other ways Trump has to steal the 2020 Election don’t work, he’s simply going to threaten the fuck out of Electors to vote for him.

And if THAT doesn’t work — MAGA is going to murder people they don’t like (like me!) in cold blood.

So, spare me all the giddy excitement about this or that poll indicating Trump is going to lose. Autocrats never fucking lose. We’re going to wake up Jan 20th, 2021 and Trump is going to be sworn in for a second term. There is absolutely no scenario I can think of where that doesn’t happen.

It’s like a law of nature at this point.

Then we get a Constitutional Convention and things get really, really dark, really really fast. And, yet, the end of the United States will have a very clear date to it, I guess. At least the American history teachers of the future will have an easier time of it making test questions.

Biden’s First 100 Days



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


The likelihood that Biden will have a “100 Days” is equal to the likelihood that the Senate was ever going to vote to convict Trump: 0. Trump is going to be the United State’s Gorbachev, only in reverse: he will destroy freedom and instill decades-long tyranny.

Having said that, all I can say is if Electors manage to get over their physical fear of being murdered by MAGA and they vote for Biden, that the first few weeks of his administration will simply be trying to figure out how to physically get Trump out of the White House. Oh, and there’s going to be violence –lots, and lots of violence.

There will be massive, rolling political violence on the part MAGA. So much so, that that violence, not COVID19, will be the biggest story of the year. I could see a number of beer hall putsch across the country — especially in places like Michigan and Virginia. Trump will stoke this violence from the moment he loses the popular vote until well after Electors vote against him (if they do.)

So, pretty much the first 100 days of Biden’s highly unlikely administration will simply be combating massive MAGA political violence. He might have to dodge a few QAnon coup attempts along the way, as well.

And it doesn’t matter, long term.

Any number of would-be Republican dictators will be waiting in the wings to do the things Trump was too incompetent to do.

There Will Be Unprecedented Political Violence In The Fall



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

When the history books are written, it won’t be COVID19 that 2020-2021 is remembered for, it will be the waves of political violence that will terrorize America.

The death toll may grow so shocking that we will all turn our heads in shame.

It will likely be 40 years from now, of course, because, lulz, it will all go down the memory hole in Trump’s second term. AOC will have to overthrow House Trump in 2060 in a popular uprising before the true extent of the MAGA violence that destroyed the United States will ultimately be understood.

Trump will be on Twitter egging MAGA on during all of it. His goal will be to get a second term and he will get it. Or, if somehow, miraculously, Electors don’t vote for Trump, then Trump will order MAGA to murder even more people as we struggle to figure out how to get him physically out of the White House.

And even if we do get him out of the White House, a new MAGA Deep State will do everything in its power to bring down the new Biden Administration. And, in the end, it will be President Tom Cotton or President Mike Flynn or President Mike Pompeo who ultimately ends the Republic.

It’s over. Get out while you can.

Trump’s Second Term



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Here’s what’s happening in Trump’s second term.

A Media Purge
A wide-range of people Trump doesn’t like will no longer be seen on TV. It will range from Don Lemon to Stephen Colbert. They will rather abruptly vanish from the airwaves, never to be seen again.

A Political Purge
The “Q” predictions will finally come true and Barr will indict a wide-range of people House Trump doesn’t like. If that doesn’t happen, then ICE will simply “vanish” these people and, lulz, who’s going to say anything about it by that point?

A Constitutional Convention
Soon after Trump is sworn in again, he’s going to demand a Constitutional Convention to “pass a balanced budget amendment.” Given that Republican-dominated State legislatures would pick these people, it will quickly go rogue and a whole rang of MAGA concepts will be thrown into the mix. Trump will rant at every opportunity to the members of the Convention as to what he feels he absolutely needs and he will get all of it. And, remember, it’s not so much Trump but his successor all of this is for. So, it will be President Mike Flynn who gets the 10 year term and whatever else MAGA needs to turn us into nothing more than an English speaking version of Putin’s Russia.

This is our future. I simply don’t see any scenario where these things don’t happen. I guess it’s at least possible we might have about two years of a Biden Administration, but that would be nothing more than a death rattle.

Republicans will get the house back in 2022 and do a legal coup that somehow ends up with Tom Cotton being president for 10 years.

All I can say is, get out of the country.

The Real Danger Of Trump’s Insanity



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Trump is slowly going completely insane. I always thought he would either implode or explode mentally. But now I think something far worst is likely to happen — he’s simply going to take us places we never imagined might happen.

For instance, what if Trump tells Barr to indict Obama and / or Biden in October? That’s pretty insane — and would likely hurt Trump politically — but once you see those two being booked, there’s no going back. I guess Trump would try to make the point that you can’t indict HIM if he’s ever an ex-president, but, really, once the genii is out of the bottle, there’s no telling where things will go.

But that’s just one of a number of ways that Trump’s enablers might lulz his obvious insanity and bring everything down because he has no accountability. So, Trump may do insane things and there simply will be no going back once they’re done — even if somehow Biden manages to become president (which I doubt is even possible at this point.)

So, that’s the real outcome of Trump being insane. He will continue in office for years and years, setting up a new norm that The Kooch, or Tom Cotton, or Steve King or Mike Pomepo or Mike Flynn or whatever else racist autocrat manages to be his successor.

Autocrats Always Win



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Ultimately, what is going to happen in the fall is if Trump loses in a landslide, he is going to begin to intemidate individual Electors on Twitter. He will dox them. He will sick MAGA on them.

The point is, Trump is never leaving office for any reason.

He could lose the popular vote in a huge landslide and “legally” win by simply scaring the shit out of Electors so they vote for him. I see no scenario where this does not happen.

Or, put another way, if somehow Biden DOES get the Electoral votes necessary to become president, his first 100 days will pretty much just be dealing with unprecedented, rolling political violence. Post-Election violence will be so severe that it will be THAT, not COVID19 that 2020-2021 is remembered for.

So, I just don’t see any way Trump doesn’t win. I just don’t see any way that the fascists don’t win and we’re little more than a managed democracy like Putin’s Russia.

Prove me wrong, people.

Autumn 2020 Will Be Dark & Surreal



by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


We are never seeing Trump’s taxes.

What’s more, Trump is never leaving office. Ever. The only way he will ever leave office is if he goes stark raving mad at some point in his second term so either Veep Mike Flynn or Veep Ivanka Trump can take over. (If it’s Ivanka, she will serve as a figure head to Veep Tom Cotton.)

It’s comical that anyone would delude themselves into thinking House Trump will ever leave office as long as we’re waiting for the Graying of America to cross the Browning of America. House Trump will get it’s Constitutional Convention at some point between 2021 and 2025 and we’ll be nothing more than a wealthier version of the managed democracy found in Russia.

ICE camps will be full of political prisoners. MAGA paramilitary groups will keep everyone in check. America as we know it will be over. We’ll have to wait for someone like AOC to overthrow the government in about 30 to 50 years when the Browning of America finally grows powerful enough.

Maybe then, and only then, will we see Trump’s taxes.

I say all this because Trump could lose the popular vote in a historic landslide and he’ll simply use Twitter to sick deranged, bloodthirsty MAGA cocksuckers on individual Electors so they vote for him.

This is our future. Absolutely. I can think of no scenario where this doesn’t happen.

Trump will never leave office. Never. For any reason. He will become America’s Brezhnev for the next 10 years or so until whatever fucktard fascist House Trump decides to choose to be his successor.

Get of the country now if you can.

There is no hope.