Well, I Bet *That* Crooked Media Stance Changes Eventually

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I generally am a big fan of Crooked Media podcasts. But they had a discussion recently that caught my attention where they ranted about the perils of humans potentially “wanting to fuck” androids. I totally get the sentiment — it is rather freakish to think about.

A novel about sexbots.

And I’m very, very, very concerned about what will happen when Incels forgo dating or being involved with human women altogether and simply “buy” an AI android mate programmed to be at their beck and call. That possibility really, really worries me. That is a nightmare scenario.

But if you’re going to be center-Left on the position of Trans rights, you have accept that at some point in the near future (2030?) we’re all going to be confronted with the idea that there will be a lot more android – human “relationships” than we could possibly imagine at the moment.

If we ever attain Artificial General Intelligence, I just can’t imagine that center-Left people like Crooked are going to continue to balk at the idea that we should treat AI androids as our equals — to the point that they can even marry humans in some way.

Of course, it is possible that everything will be thrown up in the air the current Left-Right divide on a lot of things could be thrown totally out of whack. Who knows what the world will look like by 2030.

But I do think the center-Left needs to maybe stop being so fucking smug and dismissive about some technological advancements. Or, put another way, maybe…have some….vision? Maybe at least give their positions some thought before the jump to conclusions about such things.

Imagining Androids Being In The Victoria’s Secret Show

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

There are some things that you simply can’t even bring up in certain circles of the Internet — specifically the fact that a few Trans women walked the Victoria’s Secret runway recently. It’s simply impossible to quibble with it without being brutally “canceled.”


So, I won’t.

But I will wonder out loud about something that might happen in the not-so-distant future – LLM Replicant-like androids walking the show. By 2030, something along those lines might happen. It would be rather profound. It makes you wonder if it would be as controversial as Trans women walking the show or not.

I do think, however, that to a certain extent the controversy would be very similar, the dynamic involved. You would have the Left supporting it happening, while the Right would not. Something like that.

Regardless, it will be very interesting no matter how it works out one way or another. I do think that android “rights” will be the next big controversy in society, something that will dwarf Trans rights to an amazing extent.

Sexbots Could Be a $1 Trillion Industry By 2030

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

It definitely seems as though we’re lurching into a new, unknown future at the moment. It seems as though soon enough LLMs will be stuck into humanoid androids and that will be that — we will experience a great deal of future shock.

At the forefront of all of this, as always, will be sex. It’s possible that Incels will buy sexbots and never look back. They will be quite content with the passive nature of LLMs and will never again see any reason to interact with a human woman.

What’s worse, the broader sexbot revolution could be such that the already declining Western population could plummet in a pretty short amount of time. I suppose that might do something good for the environment, but, otherwise, yikes!

People just aren’t ready for how big a change the world will see with an LLM / android combo. Once the price point of about $20,000 reached for that combination, then all bets are off. There are some obvious hickups to the roll out of all of this, but the future is coming, no matter what.

The thing that has to happen first, of course, is figuring out our political situation. If Trump causes a civil war / revolution, that is going to puta damper on things, for sure. But once all that is sorted out, then we will be in a situation where the future via LLM androids can resume careening towards us.

The Trans Movement As Precursor To The Android Movement

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Much of the same dynamic that we see swirling around the Trans movement will be seen when the futureshock of androids walking around in public happens. The key thing I’m thinking about is, of course, human-android relationships.

That is going to be enough to really freak some people out. A lot — A LOT — of people are going to go nuts when they see androids and humans holding hands in public. And the thing is — it’s going to happen a lot sooner than you might otherwise thing, probably no later than 2030.

Anyway. It’s just something to think about. It’s going to be very profound when it happens, especially in the context of the population collapsing because no babies will be born anymore.

We Have To Begin Contemplating A Future With Domestic Androids

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

We are lurching towards a future where AI enabled androids will become good enough — and affordable enough — that the average middle class home may have at least one in their household. And it could happen far sooner than any of us are prepared to accept.

At the speed things are going with AI and robotics, the average middle class family may have an AI-enabled android in their home within a decade. These androids will do chores around the house. And, of course, they will probably provide basic security given the demands of the marketplace.

This opens up a whole range of questions that we just don’t know the answer to. What if the android malfunctions and kills someone? What if they stop an intruder and kill them?

Now, obviously, there is a chance that we’re going to have to figure out if the United States is going to become an autocracy or not before these type of issues come to a head. So, the first use of AI androids could be on some horrific Second American Civil War or Revolution battlefield rather than folding your laundry.

Anyway. I can’t predict the future. Who knows what’s going to happen.

The Economic & Political Implications of The Petite Singularity: AI, Robotics & The Future Of MAGA

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


Any discussion of what I’m about to talk about must address the huge MAGA elephant in the room — it’s very possible that we may have to go through something along the lines of WW3 before we reach any sort of Singularity, petite or otherwise.

But, for the sake of argument, let’s assume that Trump somehow doesn’t manage to kill about 1 billion people when he is re-elected and in an effort to remake the global order in his image causes WW3 to break out. Let’s say we continue to have relative peace and prosperity.

It definitely seems as though by about 2030 that some combination AI and android technology make totally upend and disrupt the currently human-dominated service industry. There would likely to be an number of unexpected side effects.

The most obvious is, of course, a real push for some sort of Universal Basic Income. I could see this being paid for by some combination of a 30% vat and the taxation of the economic activity of non-human actors. (Though I know some Objectivists who think ANY taxation is theft, even if the “thing” being taxed isn’t even human. Ugh.)

The other, less obvious side-effect of the wide spread use of AI and androids would be that there would be no DDD jobs for undocumented immigrants to fill. Now, apparently some conservatives are soooooo racist that they somehow think that undocumented people will still come to America even if they’re going to starve to death because there are no jobs for them.

But, I think any reasonable person can assume that if all service jobs and all DDD jobs are done by AI androids that, well, that might single-handedly solve a few macro problems in the American body politic. There’s a reason why Japan has been obsessed androids for decades — they knew they would need them because of a lack of new babies.

So, if there was a snap, massive rollout of AI androids in the US it’s possible that the weird bending of in America’s political system that has caused MAGA to warp everything might subside and we might go back to “normal.” Or not, maybe things will just get worse because the plutocrat oligarchs who would control the AI androids would use those very same androids to control the everyone.

Ugh.

Predicting The 2030s

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner


It seems pretty clear that we have a sense of what the next few years will be like. Starting around 2024 — 2025, the United States, and the globe, will go through some sort of massive political transformation. There’s either a civil war in the United States which will cause WW3, or there’s a MAGA autocracy….which will cause WW3.

But what happens after that? What happens to the globe once the dust settles.

I think the 2030s will be a lot like the 1950s. A lot of technological innovation that was either held back because of WW2 or started in WW2 came to the fore during that decade. And I think the same thing will happen in the 2030s. A lot of the things that Elon Musk is working on now will take off in a big way in the 2030s.

The key thing I think we have to keep an eye on is AI and automation. There are about 3 million high paying blue collar jobs in transportation that could go “poof!” if Musk’s dream of AI-powered self-driving cars become a reality. Meanwhile, on the other end other end of the spectrum, there is the possibility that much of lower-end fast food preperation will be done by androids.

All that could cause a massive shift in the economics and politics of either war torn America or a MAGA autocracy. The rise of neo-Luddites could be a real possibility in the 2030s.

No one listens to me and I’m always wrong, so lulz.