by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Now, I’m not one of those who thinks 80% of all programming will be done by AI in a few months. But I do think that very soon — it can be counted in months — a huge chunk of bread and butter programming will be done by AI.
The reason why it won’t be a “few” months is institutional apathy. There are still major companies being run off of COBAL. So, lulz, it’s just going to take a little bit longer than some people think for all those programming jobs to vanish.
But they will vanish.
Once we have a (severe) recession, then AI coding will just have to be *good enough* at coding for major companies to a cost benefit analysis and realized that they just don’t need a lot of junior coders. The mid tier coders will be effected as well. It is software designers and architects who are probably safe for the time being.
But, in general, I do think that by 2030 there will be far, far fewer human coders in the marketplace. Most — but not all — code will be written by the blackbox of AI.
