by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I suspect we have about five years until the Singularity. This will happen in the context of Trump potentially destroying the post-WW2 liberal order. So, in essence, within five years, everything will be different.
It’s even possible we may blow ourselves up to a limited degree with some sort of limited nuclear exchange because Trump has pulled the US out of the collapsed post-WW2 liberal order.
My big question is how ASI is going to roll out. People too often conflate AGI with ASI. The two are not the same. A lot of people think that all of our problems will be fixed once we reached AGI, when that’s not even the final step — ASI is.
And, in a way, even ASI isn’t the endgame — maybe there will be all sorts of ASIs, not just one. My fear, of course, is that somehow Elon Musk is going to try to upload his mind or that of Trump’s into the cloud and our new ASI ruler will be like the old one.
Ugh.
But, I try not to think about that too much. All I do know is that the next five years are likely to be…eventful.
