by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Most conflicts start because of a miscalculation by one side. What MAGA leadership is assuming — which may not be true — is the MAGA base has such absolute fidelity to Trump (and by extension Musk) that they can burn the Federal government to the ground and nothing will happen.
Their reasoning is, I assume, that that the absolute racism and misogyny at the core of the MAGA movement is so all-powerful that the vast majority of MAGA and their associate Vichy collaborators will simply grin and bear it no matter how bad things get.
Don’t get me wrong — they may be right in that assumption. It could be that if Musk and his Incel toadies illegally carve out $2 trillion in “savings” from the budget that the fucking racists of MAGA will rationalize the sudden absence of Medicaid and Medicare away because they will be so happy that scary brown people are being mass deported.
And, yet, Musk and his Incels are so oblivious to the human condition that they could very well fuck with even Social Security checks and assume there will be no consequences. At the moment, what I think may happen is late this month — February – we will learn that Social Security checks will not come out at all.
This will cause a huge uproar — historic even — causing even ding-dong Trump pause for thought. There is a CHANCE that he will cut Musk loose. But we will find out soon enough that whatever Musk’s merry band of Incels did to the government’s computers is so bad that it could take months to fix, which will only aggravate an already touchy situation.
That is only one of a spectrum of possibilities, but it’s the one that gives me the most heebeejeebees. Something like that could cause the United States to buckle in a rather spectacular way, to the point that Trump might even be “deposed” in some way, which, of course, will in turn cause a civil war because Red States will get mad and leave the Union.
Or something. Maybe if Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid are totally broken for six months that even the deepest Red voter in the Deep South will simply want Trump and Musk to go away so Vance can take over. I just don’t know one way or another.
All I know is things are going to get bumpy between now and April. Really bumpy. I just don’t know the shape or form that “bumpiness” will take. All the conditions are there for some rather severe, dramatic things to happen because the political slack in the U.S. system is quickly beginning to grow tighter and tigher.
