by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I’ve written about this before, but I feel compelled to do so again — it’s probably going to be Democrats who try to “Stop The Steal” in 2024. All the macro trends point to Something Bad happening in 2024 – 2025. I would suggest that it would be a “national divorce” and Second American Civil War but the center-Left is just too weak.
In fact, the only way I could see a civil war – national divorce happening is if Trump is the nominee, wins (by theft) and he’s so fucking stupid and lazy that he single handedly forces Blues to leave the Union when they otherwise would be too weak to anything about it.
Trump really is that stupid and lazy.
So, when the Certification Crisis of 2025 happens, it will be liberals who are screaming about stopping the steal. There could even be a replay of the January 6th Insurrection, only this time it will be a far more popular revolt. That, in turn, could be the thing that sparks a national divorce and a civil war.
But there is another option — autocracy.
And the more I think about it, the more I think one way autocracy might come to the United States is what one might call the Turkey Scenario. This would be when there’s some sort of half-assed coup attempt on the part of the U.S. Military, which gives Trump (or his successor) the excuse to purge the government of the “Deep State” elements, probably by forcing through radical civil service reform that would allow them to fire anyone they didn’t like for political reasons.
And, remember, this would not happen in a vacuum.
By my estimation, at least 1 million wealthy liberals will leave the United States once it becomes clear we’ve finally become an autocracy. And that could be in just the first year or so. The mass exit of wealthy, educated liberals could get so bad that our American Autocrat somehow makes it almost impossible for anyone to leave the country.
I know that sounds hysterical, Mueller, She Wrote, but form follows function. Autocrats hate brain drains and, as such, what else will autocrat President DeSantis do?
Anyway, the point is — we are in the final days, the twilight, of the America we’ve assumed will always be there. Once the Dobbs decision overturning Roe is handed down, things could get pretty bumpy. And Republicans taking the House (at a minimum) could really push the United States to the breaking point to the point that when Bannon’s “spiritual shock troops” pull of their administrative coup in 2024, everything falls apart.
It’s autocracy or civil war, folks. No middle ground. We’re fucked. Pick a side. Figure out what you believe in.
