by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I’m really beginning to believe we’re not going to have a civil war. We’re just going to become a MAGA themed autocracy. But there are a few issues that are unresolved at the moment that could still throw us into the ditch of civil war.
One is the most obvious — Trump.
Every day, Trump grows more deranged and yet his death grip on the Republican Party remains just as powerful. So, it’s logical to assume at the moment that he’s going to be the 2024 Republican nominee. If that happens, the chance of significant political violence, up to and including civil war in 2024 – 2025 grows significantly. Trump is just a big old deranged idiot and he could very well, single handedly, cause a civil war just by being a very dumb avatar for white Christian rage.
Another known unknown is the issue of MAGA, in general, being so bloodthirsty that they force the issue of civil war on Blue States, even though Blue States don’t — at the moment — have the leadership to leave the Union even if they really wanted to.
Yet another unknown is how bad it might get should Republicans take Congress over in 2025. If they go nuts not only by corrupting the election of 2024, but by impeaching both Biden and Harris just because they feel a political need to do so, then that gives Blue States two years to seethe in rage before the main event in 2024 – 2025.
If a civil war happened in 2024 – 2025, I think we need to keep any eye on state governments. I think there would probably be coups and counter-coups across the United States at the state level. States like Virginia, Oregon and Michigan are prime candidates for significant political instability between Election Day 2024 and Certification Day 2025.
No matter what happens, late 2024 to early 2025 is shaping up to be a shitshow. The United States will be extremely unstable if Trump wins again in 2024 for no other reason than he is going to cheat even if he wins outright. I have a lot less concerns about a civil war if someone like Ron DeSantis is the Republican nominee is 2024 because, lulz, he’s Trump without Trump and Traditionalist conservatives love, love, love him.
If DeSantis becomes POTUS In 2025, nothing will change at first. But, soon enough, late night TV will be purged and what little resistance there is to autocrat DeSantis will be neutralized soon enough. We’ll wake up in 2042 and DeSantis will be invading Canada for this or that reason. (Form follows function.)
Anyway, I can’t predict the future. I have no idea what is going to happen. But I am worried. I’m very worried.
