by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
The next few days will be crucial. I still struggle with the idea that Putin could potentially use nukes of some sort against Ukraine. But, remember, in real terms, there’s not much the West could do if he did, in fact, use them.
And, really, that’s not even the point of the problem. The point is the taboo against using nukes that has held since 1945 would end and suddenly one could begin to see the possibility of China using them against Taiwan or the DPRK using them against South Korea.
It is interesting to think about, however. To contemplate what the actual, specific implications of Russian using nukes of some sort on Ukraine might be. I think the shock of WMD being used on Ukraine would be something that would really make a lot of Americans who are indifferent to the current clusterfuck in Ukraine to sit up and take notice.
It makes you wonder, too, if using nukes would really do Putin all that much good. It’s not like the Ukrainians are going to give up, even if they are nuked. And Russia using WMD on the Ukrainians would only lead to a great deal of instability within their own nation.
But, if nothing else, the use of WMD by the Russians would push us into a new, uncertain era. Add to this how the United States is rushing towards its own crisis around the 2024 -2025 period and a lot of assumptions about the world are probably going to be challenged very, very soon.