by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I’m no expert — I keep getting things wrong about this situation — but from what I can tell from Twitter, it definitely seems like Russia is on the cusp of a major war against Ukraine.
The issue now is, of course, when will it start?
I honestly have no idea. But my current guess is anytime between now and mid-February. We may have about 48 hours notice before go time. But at the moment, Russia is throwing everything it’s got into this particular endeavor. It’s just a matter of when Putin decides to give the go ahead.
One thing I do find interesting is how the Russians plan to avoid cities as part of the invasion. Anyway. I guess we’ll see.