by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Absolutely no one listens to me. Absolutely no one cares what I think. And, with my luck, should anyone ever notice that my dire predictions for America’s future are, in fact, rapidly becoming a reality, they still won’t care because I’m a kook. I mean, it’s not like I write for Vox or anything. I need to work on my received English vocal fry for that to work — have to have that air of authority in my voice.
But the thing I think about all the time now is how the MAGA New Right would have to be EXTREMLY STUPID to push us into a Second American Civil War. It would be so stupid that I find myself reviewing over and over in my mind how something so dumb could possibly happen.
And, yet, Trump has time and again proven that he really is a massive self-own artist. He always takes the path of most stupid. He always says the quiet part out loud. So, I could see him at some point in late 2024, early 2025, about to become president again — and he blows it. He is such a fucking dickhead to the Blue States as he transitions the country to autocracy that states begin to pop off of the Union, probably starting with California.
Then I could see a form of revolution race through Blue States and we’re going to the show — civil war. Given the wide array of advantages that the Blue States have over Red States, I then could see Red States begin to use WMD on Blue States to make up the difference.
And THAT would be just the beginning.
One thing I find myself falling into is a sense that 2ACW would be just like the first with a clear beginning – middle – end, when, in fact, it could be far, far more muddled. You could see the most powerful nation in the world fall into a series of warlord – controlled areas and regional alliances. Race war in the South would be a real possibility. We’re talking fucking Turner Diaries levels of bullshit.
So, to that extent, the Republican Party has a Trump problem. If someone like DeSantis (who at least one person in my family loves so much that they want to “vote three times for”) is the nominee, then we really do slip peacefully into autocracy.
And let me note at that this point that I’m aware that I sound “hysterical” and got Trump and 2020 wrong, so why should anyone listen to me now? All I can say is, if we have to wait until I’m actually right for once for Traditionalists to make common cause with libtards, then, guess who is dead in a ditch because ICE got mad at them and who isn’t?
It is the refusal of political Traditionalists to not always, always, always succumb to negative polarization and to never take the threat of fascism seriously that forces me to read a book about the rise of Hitler. And that’s the thing — there is every reason to believe that we’ll turn into a fascist state peacefully just like Germany in the 30s.
In fact, all the momentum at the moment is for that very thing to happen. But there remains a little, nagging voice in my mind that tells me we just don’t know yet which way things will go.
Stay tuned.
