by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
Things just keep getting worse this year.
The thing about war is one you let slip its dogs, instability suddenly whips around the globe at an alarming rate. So, in a sense, if the DPRK really did flip its lid and attack the ROK on some meaningful way, that wouldn’t be the end, it would be the beginning.
It’s likely several hotspots elsewhere around the globe would flare up rather abruptly and violently. I’m thinking Russia-Ukraine and India – Pakistan. Though India and China have been eyeball-to-eyeball the last month or so as well.
I honestly don’t expect such a dire situation to happen, but there’s one thing I know about the Koreans — however the two Koreas are united, it’s going to be in a really weird manner.
Like, historically surreal.
We under estimate how weak the United States probably looks to people like the NORKs. Whatever border goals they might have, now is a put-up-or-shut-up kind of moment for them.
I have no idea what is going to happen. But I don’t like how things have suddenly gone, if not 0 to 100, at least 0 to 40 extremely rapidly.