Tag: DPRK

#MAGA, The Blue Wave & Trump’s Coming Preemptive War With The DPRK

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

If you wanted to get all reflective about things, one might say that had Hillary Clinton won the Electoral Vote and was president now, things would actually be worse. I say this because Trump would have the best of both worlds — he could bitch an moan on Twitter all day about how bad things were, but wouldn’t have to actually do anything about it. Add to this how he probably would start Trump TV and you can see how things could be worse. And, what’s even worse, the same insane nutjobs who wanted to march on Washington and establish a deathcult in late October 2016, would be growing ever more hysterical.

As it stands, however, what’s going on is this: the Resistance needs time to rebuild its ranks of leadership. So, it’s going to be a while. The earliest anything is going possibly change is November 2018. Even then, between November and January, the lame duck session of Congress probably is going to cram in as many insane Federal judges as it can. But given that I think Trump is going to short-circuit the Blue Wave by starting a war with the DPRK between now and August, it could be much, much longer before anything changes. In fact, my big fear is the entire system is so broken that it could be a decade or more before The Resistance finally comes to power and even then everything will have changed so much that things simply won’t be able to snap back into place.

Having said all that, we need to think about that 35% of the electorate that continues to support Trump. It reminds me of the old SNL skit, “How’s He Doing” that had a round table of African Americans giving their views on Obama. I really think SNL needs to do a similar skit with Trump supporters. The issue is, and this is one I continue to struggle with: why is it so difficult for Trump supporters to see they’ve been duped.

This is not to say that they don’t have legitimate grievances, they do. They have a whole host of reasons why they should be upset with the existing order. I get that. But what I don’t get is their continued support for Trump personally.

And, really, the only thing that can give us any hope is that Trump doesn’t have any ideology other than winning the moment and whatever he tweets at any particular time. If he had an ideology he had thought through and was willing to defend, he would be a real danger to the Republic.

But, fortunately, he doesn’t have that. But what he does have as his fail safe is the ability to start a preemptive war with the DPRK. I still think that’s in his pocket. If things get too bad, he just arbitrarily starts a war with North Korea, kills about a million people needlessly and that’s that. We wake up in 2025 with President Tom Cotton getting sworn in.

Sadly, there’s no much we can do about it. I have proposed that the war with the DPRK will start between now and August 2018 and I have not seen anything to make me think otherwise. It has nothing to do with what is going on in Korea and everything to do with the continuing domestic crisis that is Donald J. Trump. A massive war with the DPRK will give Trump spectacular approval rating for a just long enough to prevent the Blue Wave from happening. That core 35% of the electorate who continue to support Trump no matter what will be the basis of a scary realignment of the American body politic as Trump becomes a war president.

And there’s not much we can do about it.

Fail Safe: Trump Will Start A War With The #DPRK By August To Stop The Blue Wave

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

While it seems as though peace has broken out in Korea, I have some serious doubts. I still believe that for cold, hard political reasons, Trump will start a war with the DPRK between now and early August. What may or may not be actually happening between the two Koreans has zero to do with what Trump knows in his gut: if he starts a war with the DPRK all his problems with Mueller will vanish and we’re headed towards an Iran-Contra style wrap up of the issue. In other words: squat happens.

So, hang on to your hats, folks. The Blue Wave won’t happen because of an epic wag the dog operation the likes of which we’ve never seen. A quick, bloody war will happen in Korea and by November, Lee Greenwood will have popped out yet again from his hole and be belting out “God Bless The USA.”

I hope I’m wrong. I really do. It will be a historic tragedy if I’m right.

V-Log: A Preemptive War Between #DPRK & USA Is Inevitable By August 2018

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

This is a really long, but interesting v-log of me walking and talking about why I believe war between the US and the DPRK is all but inevitable by August, 2018. Enjoy!

Why I Think We’re Going To War With The DPRK In 2018

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

All strategic, long-term indicators point to a preemptive war between the United States and the DPRK. I say this because everywhere I look, it seems, I see a new slight turn towards this inevitability. It just makes so much sense on a macro level.

We have, in the guise of Donald Trump, a mercurial, bonkers egomaniac leading the United States with historically low poll numbers going into a crucial mid-terms knowing that if he loses the House and or the Senate he could very well be impeached and convicted. It is simply to logical to think that Trump would see a quick, massively bloody war with the DPRK as his “fail safe.”

One thing we have to remember is, in the lead up to the Iraq War, there was all kinds of frantic diplomatic efforts to avoid war. But the fix was in. President Bush II wanted a war and he got one. So I wouldn’t get too excited if the DPRK frantically has high level talks with South Korea. The key thing to remember is the DPRK has an absolute need for security guarantees. The very thing they will never give up — the ICBM technology combined with their A-bomb technology — is the very things that Trump sees as his “red line.”

So, we’re hurdling towards a fish or cut bait moment.

Either the United States accepts the DPRK as a nuclear power and uses the age-old tactic of deterrence or it doesn’t. And by “doesn’t,” I mean we have a bloody, tragic preventable war in Northeast Asia with God-only-knows what kind of results.

Trump’s logic of war is that if he picks just the right moment to start such a war, that Lee Greenwood will be crooning “God Bless The USA” just about the time that voters are going to the polls in November. What I fear is that in hindsight, this could be a pretty enormous miscalculation. While the DPRK doesn’t want a war, if it feels as though the war is inevitable, things could spin entirely out of control. By that I mean, as the old adage goes, wars, like romance, are easily started by difficult to end.

The DPRK has had over 60 years to prepare for its final gotterdammerung. Besides the wide range of WMD options the DPRK has at its disposal, there are more unconventional options such as sleeper cells that would wreak enormous havoc domestically in the United States. Should a war with the DPRK start and DPRK sleeper cells be activated and thousands of Americans die across the country, that might make the Trump “fail safe” belief seem rather quaint.

As I understand it, there are about 100,000 American civilians in South Korea and countless more in Japan. And there simply is no easy way to bug out that many people without spooking the DPRK so much that they don’t start the war themselves. Thus, it seems as though we’re hurdling towards a situation where a war might start pretty abruptly and countless scores of American civilians will come back to the States in bodybags.

But I can see the appeal of a preemptive war with the DPRK for Donald Trump. He knows 500,000 or more people could die in the opening days of such a war and he simply doesn’t care. He lacks all sense of empathy and sees things in the cold, hard terms of white knuckled politics. He really, really wants Lee Greenwood crooning his hits on TV as people leave their house to vote in November, so once he knows for a fact that the DPRK has crossed his “red line” it is inevitable that a war will happen, it’s just a matter of how and when.

Therefore, I believe that at some point between now and November 2018, we’re going to war with the DPRK for no other reason than the North Koreans are never going to give up the security that being a nuclear power would provide.

Hold on to your hats, folks, it’s going to be a bumpy ride.

V-Log: Mulling #GunControl, #AR15s, War With The #DPRK & #Screenplay #Writing

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

It looks as though we’re hurdling towards a war with the #DPRK. Or maybe not. Only time will tell. But this v-log has a few other interesting things in it as well.

V-Log: A ‘Drama Queen’ Speaks Out About Victor Cha #DPRK

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I am a little upset about what’s going on with the DPRK and here are some words on the matter.

Why War With The #DPRK May Be Inevitable

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

While it pains me to admit this, I fear we have to accept that war between the United States and the DPRK is almost frightfully inevitable in the near future. When I say “near future” I say sometime between now and Election Day 2018.

I say this because Donald Trump not only lacks basic human empathy, but his personality is such that he will desperately want to boost his poll numbers by Election Day 2018 so Congress doesn’t flip and lead to his impeachment and conviction. What better way to do exactly this than to do a preemptive war against the DPRK in just the right way so by November 2018 American television screens will be plastered with the imagines of the oppressed citizens of North Korea being liberated.

The moment a preemptive war with the DPRK starts, the political clock will be stopped and restarted. The moment the war starts, there will be a darkness at noon not seen since 9/11. And Trump will not only see an enormous boost in his popularity, he will also be a war president with all of the additional power that is associated with that designation.

There is a real risk that should a war with the DPRK begin, that we’ll wake up a few later and there we’ll be in a significantly more dystopian world than we ever imagined. The what’s even more troublesome is many liberals will, once the war starts, be quite supportive of a war with the DPRK because the people of the DPRK legitimately do deserve to be liberated. It’s just that up until this point, the cost of that liberation would be so tragic and so costly that we did not give it real honest thought.

But now, because of the self-evident mercurial nature of Trump what was once unthinkable is now definitely thinkable. If 3,000 deaths on 9/11 are enough to fundamentally change the American experience, imagine what 30,000 American expat dead caused by a preemptive war with the DPARK might change. It seems obvious that we’re rushing towards a dark and dystopian future because of a possible war with the DPRK.

I’m not saying I can predict the future, but I am saying the conditions are there for a preemptive war with the DPRK. All I can say is we will have to be prepared to fight for the American Republic when a war with the DPRK tests it beyond what we could have possibly imagined would ever happen.

We Have To Take The Possibility Of War Between The DPRK & US Seriously

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I am growing ever more nervous about what’s going on between the United States and the DPRK. The issue, for me, is we just don’t know. We just don’t know what is going to happen next. It could be that this is nothing. It could be that we’re just going to muddle through and nothing changes.

And then there is a real chance that there will be a war between the United States and the DPRK. An example of this can be found below. This is now floating around the Twitterverse. I don’t know what to make of it.

The only reason why I think a war might happen is that with his poll numbers hovering at about 37% he needs a win. He needs a big win. And what better way to goose his poll numbers but with a major regional war in Northeast Asia. Given how nasty and yet ultimately fulfilling a war with the DPRK would be, it would be the perfect way to get his poll numbers up into the 80s, at least.

But I still believe there’s a good chance nothing will happen. I guess that’s the part I hate the most, the not knowing. The not knowing which way things will go. So, we’ll just have to see I guess.

Talk To Me Internet: Trump’s Beginning To Unnerve Me When It Comes To The DPRK

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I still don’t think there’s going to be a war with the DPRK anytime soon. But should it happen, for the first few days of it, I will be so angry that people I know in South Korea have been put in physical jeopardy that I will flip out on social media to an astonishing extent.

Probably it will be for the best if I don’t use social media for a few days should such a war start. I will be so tempted to burn every bridge I can get my hands on of anyone I know who supports Trump that the whole thing won’t be very pretty.

But hopefully that won’t happen. Hopefully we won’t have to worry about that.

V-Log: An Interesting Discussion About #Korea With Someone Living There

by Shelton Bumgarner
@bumgarls

I had a nice long conversation with an expat living in South Korea. Here it is. It takes a little while to get started, but it’s worth it.