It Seems Inevitable That Trump Will Arrest Congressional Democrats One Day

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

With all the talk of the coup attempt in South Korea, I find myself thinking about how something similar could happen here. The most obvious way is at some point after the Congressional mid-terms (should the Democrats win) they decide to impeach Trump for something and he decides to arrest them all en masse.

I think *that* would be the last shiver of American democracy, more than anything else because I think he would get away with it. SCOTUS has already said he’s above the law, so, lulz, seems like he could pull off such a coup scenario pretty easily.

All the lawmakers would be in jail by the time enough people realized what was going on, given how big and distracted the country is, in general. I have a very low, dark view of how things are going to play out over the course of the next four years.

I think 2024 will be the last free-and-fair election in America history for the rest of my life — at least. We’re going to become a legalistic autocratic state like in Russia and that will be that. And because I will never bend a knee, Trump — or one of his successors — will order my death.

Good times!

Imagining A Trump Second Term

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Here are some random thoughts on a potential second Trump term.

Foreign Policy:
I think there’s a good chance that the United States will pull out of NATO if Trump wins. I also think that the United States may pull out of at least South Korea as well. The US will grow amazingly tight with Russia in a way that is going to upend the global order.

Domestic Policy
This is a bit more murky because I don’t know how much Trump could actually get away with. But I do think he’s so stupid and lazy that he might go “full tyrant.” If he does that, then, all bets are off. The United States in 2024 is not Germany in 1933. It’s a lot less centralized and homogenized to the point that if Trump goes nuts and tries to, through brut force, to turn the country into a “hard” autocracy…there are bound to be consequences. If Trump starts to round people — like me! — up along with all those undocumented people then that is going to really stir people up. Add to this the possibility that Trump might use Red State militaries on Blue States….yikes.

Pondering What Any Possible ‘October Surprise’ Against Trump Might Be

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

  1. Laura Loomer Sextape
    This wouldn’t hurt Trump and his supporters would call it a deepfake, anyway.
  2. Proof of Trump saying the “N” Word
    Lulz, racism is the point for MAGA people.
  3. Pee Tape
    This one is funny and might hurt him on the edges, but, in general, nothing would change.
  4. FOTUS Is Real?
    If it turned out that FOTUS was real after all the bullshit we went through….

Worried About Being A Domestic Political Refugee Later This Year

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I’m not REALLY worried about being forced out of my home if Trump loses — or, hell, if he wins — but I am uneasy. I’m uneasy that no matter who wins, the country could grow a lot more unstable than you might otherwise think.

It doesn’t help that all these Russians keep looking at my scenario whereby it’s the Blues, not the Reds who start a civil war because the Reds cheat in some sort of post-election certification imbroglio. I know that sounds really far fetch at the moment, but, lulz, stranger things and all that.

But as I keep saying, they say you go bankrupt gradually then all at once, so, oh boy. There are a lot of scenarios whereby things at some point after the election take a sharp left turn into chaos and the whole country heaves with chaos and confusion.

And it could be either side that causes it, depending on who wins, how and why. That’s really the scary part to me — even if Trump gets what he wants, he could single handedly cause a civil war by being such a tyrant — going “full tyrant,” if you will — that he is somehow deposed (probably by the U.S. Military.)

I know people like Tom Nichols think that’s crazy talk, but if Trump went full tyrant I do think there is a greater-than-zero chance he might, just MIGHT be deposed.

It will be nuts to see, but it’s possible. THAT is when the civil war would start when Red states leave the Union in protest.

Anyway, I just hope I’m being paranoid and over thinking things.

Things Are Feeling A Little Hot Politically In The USA

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The more I jack back into the American political scene after….an extended strange period of time in my life…the more I am uneasy about what may happen in the post-election period.

They say you go bankrupt gradually then all at once and it definitely seems as though we may lurch into something pretty dark soon after the election of 2024 is over. The post-election process could go haywire in a number of different ways that I have detailed at length on this blog over the years.

One big fear I have right now is Trump loses outright, but he really leans into all sorts of shenanigans surrounding certification of votes on a local basis. His goal will be to force a direct confrontation with the Blues to the point that he could steal the election and cause a civil war with it being Blues, not Reds who leave the Union or otherwise cause problems.

Or something like that. Something bad.

And it doesn’t help that I keep seeing Russians look at this blog interested in just that type of scenario. My fear, of course, is they are going to use my scenarios as a blueprint in some sort of nefarious backchannel with the Trump campaign.

I know I’m being really paranoid, but stranger things have happened.

Welp, The Russians May Being Using My Second American Civil War Scenario To Plot The Nation’s Demise With The Trump Camp

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

A number of people from Russia — specifically Moscow — continue to eye my very detailed scenario about how, effectively, Trump could start a civil war by denying Harris her win by denying the proper certification of her election.

I guess there’s not much I can do about it at this point. My fear is, of course, that the Russians will give my scenario to the Trump people as a roadmap for how they could successfully(?) steal the election from Harris, no matter what happens.

But I’m just being paranoid, right? Right? RIGHT?

‘Truth Tellers’

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

One of my far-more-conservative relatives, whom I love dearly, has been ranting about how fucking old Biden is. This person kind of got worked up about it more than once. And I, too, have admitted that Biden is really old — and acts it — but I simply hate MAGA too much to use Biden’s age as any sort of excuse to vote for…ugh…Trump.

Now that Biden appears to be about to leave the race, it seems like it’s time to contemplate the OTHER thing my far more conservative relative has gotten worked up about — the COVID restrictions of a few years ago.

Is my far more conservative relative right about all that? Should there be “consequences” — even criminal — for the people responsible for those restrictions?

Nope. I keep thinking about what happened and why and I just can’t agree with such severe political views. And, what’s more, there just isn’t any political will all these years later to do anything like arrest the CDC en masse. I suppose Tyrant Trump might do it, but…I don’t know.

That’s a maybe. He might have bigger issues to contend with going forward. Anyway, I just don’t see the point in going after the people who did the COVID restrictions. It was a time without any leadership and no one had any idea what to do.

We can just hope the Fire Next Time will be handled better — hopefully because Trump won’t be in charge.

There Is An Economic Element To What Divides America At The Moment — Abortion

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

Someone far more even keel than I has long poo-pooed my somewhat hysterical fears about a the potential for a revolution / civil war starting in late 2024 – early 2025 because, in his opinion, there is something absent: an economic element.

He suggests that you can only have a civil war / revolution if there some sort of economic component to the causes of such a conflict. With the original Civil War, it was, of course the economics of slavery that caused the United States to buckle.

But as I have proposed before, abortion is an economic division in the United States and, as such, could be the cornerstone of any revolution / civil war in the United States that might start in the next 18 months.

Trump’s hero, Viktor Orban of Hungary.

Do I really think a civil war is going to happen should Trump be re-elected? I dunno. I honestly don’t know. It’s a least a POSSIBILITY, but not a probability. At this point, the only reason why I give the idea any mental energy is how absolutely dumb and ham-handed Trump would be in any effort to transition the United States into an autocracy.

Anyone else in his position — ANYONE ELSE — would be able to do it in such a way that there was no civil war and we would transition to, at a minimum, an Hungary-like autocracy in due course.

But Trump is so fucking dumb and stupid that he, unto himself, could push the United States to the brink.

Putin Killed Navalny Because Of Ding-Dong Trump

by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

I fear there may be a direct connection between Trump’s recent political sucking of Putin’s cock in relation to NATO’s future and tragic murder of Alexei Navalny.

It would make a lot of sense if that was the case, at least.

Trump is making it very clear that he is going to allow the collapse of the West if he’s re-elected and, as such, Putin decided to lulz it and get rid of Navalny as a taste of what is going to happen in 2025 if Trump wins.

Things are going to get pretty dark, I fear, if Trump wins. Very very dark. And the side effects of Trump winning could be far worse than any of us could possibly imagine — like about 1 billion people dying in something akin to WW3. If NATO collapses and Russia takes, say, the Baltic states, then, yikes, all bets are off as to the state of simmering conflicts around the globe that have only been checked by the US keeping an eye on them

So. I guess I hope Trump doesn’t win?

Comparing To Trump to Navalny Is Fucking Insane

By Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner

The late Alexei Navalny.

Alexei Navalny’s tragic death has caused the usual MAGA suspects to compare his murder to what’s going on with Trump these days. Or, even more stupidly, MAGA will do “whataboutism” of pointing out the uncertain nature of Jeffery Epstein’s death in prison.

Ugh.

And Tucker Carlson pretty much gave Putin a pass for what happened to Navalny. Double ugh. The whole thing is fucked up. But it does give us a pretty solid indication of how bad things will get if Trump is re-elected.

I continue to predict that about 1 million wealthy, smug Twitter liberals will flee the country starting in late 2024, early 2025 should Trump get re-elected. That will be just the beginning as Trump begins to put the squeeze on anyone he sees as either a potential political opponent or critic.

What’s so bonkers about all of this is, of course, the fact that if Trump is really ham-handed in the implementation of MAGA tyranny….oh boy. All bets are off as to how that particular situation is finally fixed. If Trump is a total bonkers tyrant starting in 2025….it’s at least POSSIBLE that Blues might rise up against him in some sort of General Strike that might lead to a Glorious Revolution.

But I have my doubts — and I’m not advocating anything. I hate violence of any sort.

Yet I am worried. Very worried.