by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
I’ve been talking and writing about various civil war / revolution scenarios for years and years now. David French wrote a great book on the subject recently, too. It lays out some pretty good scenarios as to how a civil war in the US might actually break out.
But the thing you have to remember is — at the moment, at least, all that is going on is a lot of political grandstanding. That’s it. No one is doing anything ‘in defiance” of anyone or anything.
Texas thinks it can put up barbwire on the Mexico border, the US disagrees and that’s it.
And, yet, as a lot of long-term macro trends come to a head in late 2024, early 2025, something like this which should be a lulz has the potential to escalate rather quickly at an alarming rate.
But, at the moment, things are just at a low simmer. And there’s every reason to believe that that will continue to be the case until at least the 2024 presidential silly season officially begins.
If nothing else, I will note, one way to re-elect Biden is for him to have to lead the US through a secession crisis.
