by Shelt Garner
@sheltgarner
On the surface, it seems as those because of demographics that MAGA is waning. The case could be made that January 6th was the high water mark of MAGA and now, in general,the entire movement is on the backfoot and will ultimately fade into oblivion.
And, yet.
The issue is that on a systemic basis, the edificate of the Republican Party is now radicalized to the point that I’m worried that we may have a secession crisis in 2024 – 2025 in one of two ways. Either Trump loses and Republicans at the state level heed his demands for secession, or he wins and his second term agenda is such that Blue States feel pushed out of the Union.
A this point, it could go either way, I’m afraid.
I do tend to lean towards if Trump wins that all that will happen is about 1 million smug Twitter liberals will leave the country so they can record their smug, elite podcasts in the south of France. I just don’t know if Blues have it in them to take the radical step of leaving the Union at the state level.
Meanwhile, by 2024, it definitely seems as though Red States are prepared to bounce if they don’t get what they want as part of the 2024 election. As always, everything rests on with ding-dong Trump. About 60% of the American population absolutely hates his guts and, yet, he is well on his way to be the next president of the United States.
Go figure.
